Don Benito vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Atlético Paso?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,911) and Atlético Paso (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Paso have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Telde(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Don Benito win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Paso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | Atlético Paso 2-0 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Don Benito 1-0 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Don Benito on Apr 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Atlético Paso played?
- Don Benito vs Atlético Paso is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.