Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Banks O' Dee. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee?
Banks O' Dee starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Banks O' Dee have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 1-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Dumbarton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Banks O' Dee win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Dumbarton 3-2 Banks O' Dee | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee on Oct 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Banks O' Dee score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Banks O' Dee | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee?
- The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Banks O' Dee.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee played?
- Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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