Match

Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton

DumbartonBanks O' Dee

The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Banks O' Dee. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee?

Banks O' Dee starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,453).

Dumbarton win39 %
Draw23 %
Banks O' Dee win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Banks O' Dee have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dumbarton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kelty Hearts(away)1-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Edinburgh City(home)0-3League Two
Aug 11, 2026Airdrie United(home)1-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Clyde(home)1-0League Two
Aug 1, 2026Stirling Albion(away)0-2League Two
Banks O' Dee
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Huntly(away)2-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Turriff United(home)1-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Brora Rangers(away)2-4Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026Peterhead(home)1-5Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Strathspey Thistle(home)1-1Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Dumbarton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Banks O' Dee win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2023Dumbarton 3-2 Banks O' DeeFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee on Oct 28, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Banks O' Dee score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dumbarton0.92.726/1510/15
Banks O' Dee1.52.139/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee?
The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Banks O' Dee.
Where and when is Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee played?
Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dumbarton and Banks O' Dee

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