Match

Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar

Forfar AthleticDundee United II

The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dundee United II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,531) and Dundee United II (1,524).

Forfar Athletic win54 %
Draw21 %
Dundee United II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dundee United II have 2, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forfar Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Clyde(away)0-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stirling Albion(home)3-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Elgin City(away)1-1League Two
Aug 1, 2026Kelty Hearts(home)1-0League Two
Dundee United II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)0-5Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025Inverness CT(away)0-6Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025Cove Rangers(away)1-5Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025Spartans(away)0-1Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025Peterhead(away)0-3Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee United II score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forfar Athletic0.92.526/1511/15
Dundee United II0.72.723/129/12

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II?
The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dundee United II.
Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II played?
Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Forfar Athletic and Dundee United II

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