Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dundee United II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,531) and Dundee United II (1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dundee United II have 2, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-6 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Spartans(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Peterhead(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee United II score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Dundee United II | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 3/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II?
- The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dundee United II.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Ross CountyvsHearts U21
- Sep 26, 2026DumbartonvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Queen of the SouthvsRangers U21
- Sep 26, 2026Alloa AthleticvsGala Fairydean Rovers
- Sep 26, 2026CowdenbeathvsClyde
- Sep 26, 2026Airdrie UnitedvsBerwick Rangers
- Sep 26, 2026Annan AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 26, 2026Hamilton AcademicalvsKilmarnock II