Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II played?

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton Academical

Kilmarnock II

The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Kilmarnock II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,530).

Hamilton Academical win69 %

Draw17 %

Kilmarnock II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kilmarnock II have 3, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamilton Academical
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Edinburgh City(home)	0-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	East Fife(away)	0-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Airdrie United(home)	4-0	League One
Aug 12, 2026	Celtic II(home)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Alloa Athletic(home)	1-0	League One

Kilmarnock II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Cumbernauld Colts(away)	1-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 11, 2026	East Kilbride(away)	3-5	Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025	Annan Athletic(away)	0-6	Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2025	Clyde(away)	1-2	Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025	Alloa Athletic(away)	0-3	Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock II score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical	2.1	0.8	7	6/15	8/15
Kilmarnock II	1.6	2.5	1	8/13	10/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?: The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Kilmarnock II.
Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II played?: Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.