Match

Queen of the South vs Rangers U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Palmerston Park, Dumfries

Queen of the SouthRangers U21

The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Rangers U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Queen of the South vs Rangers U21?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Queen of the South (1,608) and Rangers U21 (1,574).

Queen of the South win56 %
Draw21 %
Rangers U21 win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen of the South have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rangers U21 have 5, 0 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Queen of the South
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Hibernian U21(home)1-0Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Alloa Athletic(home)0-2League One
Aug 11, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(home)4-0Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Peterhead(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026East Kilbride(away)1-5League One
Rangers U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)1-2Challenge Cup
Aug 11, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)4-0Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025Hamilton Academical(away)0-3Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025Dumbarton(away)0-1Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025Annan Athletic(away)3-4Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Queen of the South win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rangers U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2025Queen of the South 2-1 Rangers U21Challenge Cup

Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 on Sep 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rangers U21 score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Queen of the South1.41.639/158/15
Rangers U212.12.1211/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Queen of the South vs Rangers U21?
The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Rangers U21.
Where and when is Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 played?
Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Palmerston Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Queen of the South and Rangers U21

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