Queen of the South vs Rangers U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Palmerston Park, Dumfries
The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Rangers U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Queen of the South vs Rangers U21?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Queen of the South (1,608) and Rangers U21 (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen of the South have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rangers U21 have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dumbarton(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Annan Athletic(away) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Queen of the South win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rangers U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | Queen of the South 2-1 Rangers U21 | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 on Sep 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rangers U21 score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Rangers U21 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Queen of the South vs Rangers U21?
- The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Rangers U21.
- Where and when is Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 played?
- Queen of the South vs Rangers U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Palmerston Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Ross CountyvsHearts U21
- Sep 26, 2026DumbartonvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Alloa AthleticvsGala Fairydean Rovers
- Sep 26, 2026Forfar AthleticvsDundee United II
- Sep 26, 2026CowdenbeathvsClyde
- Sep 26, 2026Airdrie UnitedvsBerwick Rangers
- Sep 26, 2026Annan AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 26, 2026Hamilton AcademicalvsKilmarnock II