Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
Airdrie United starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Airdrie United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Berwick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2018 | Berwick Rangers 0-3 Airdrie United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Berwick Rangers vs Airdrie United on Jul 21, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Berwick Rangers | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers.
- Where and when is Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers played?
- Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Ross CountyvsHearts U21
- Sep 26, 2026DumbartonvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Queen of the SouthvsRangers U21
- Sep 26, 2026Alloa AthleticvsGala Fairydean Rovers
- Sep 26, 2026Forfar AthleticvsDundee United II
- Sep 26, 2026CowdenbeathvsClyde
- Sep 26, 2026Annan AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 26, 2026Hamilton AcademicalvsKilmarnock II