Match

Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie

Airdrie UnitedBerwick Rangers

The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?

Airdrie United starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,460).

Airdrie United win71 %
Draw16 %
Berwick Rangers win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Airdrie United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ross County(home)1-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)0-4League One
Aug 11, 2026Dumbarton(away)3-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Kilbride(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Cove Rangers(away)0-0League One
Berwick Rangers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Stirling University(home)3-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Hearts U21(home)3-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Brechin(away)3-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)0-2Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Airdrie United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Berwick Rangers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2018Berwick Rangers 0-3 Airdrie UnitedLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Berwick Rangers vs Airdrie United on Jul 21, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Airdrie United1.01.729/159/15
Berwick Rangers1.91.748/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers.
Where and when is Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers played?
Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Airdrie United and Berwick Rangers

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