Cowdenbeath vs Clyde: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Central Park, Cowdenbeath
The Footlab model makes Cowdenbeath the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Clyde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cowdenbeath vs Clyde?
Clyde starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cowdenbeath have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Clyde have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 1-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cowdenbeath win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Clyde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Cowdenbeath 2-1 Clyde | League Two |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Clyde 1-0 Cowdenbeath | League Two |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Cowdenbeath 1-1 Clyde | League Two |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Clyde 2-0 Cowdenbeath | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Cowdenbeath 1-0 Clyde | League Two |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Cowdenbeath 0-3 Clyde | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Clyde score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowdenbeath | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Clyde | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cowdenbeath vs Clyde?
- The Footlab model makes Cowdenbeath the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Clyde.
- Where and when is Cowdenbeath vs Clyde played?
- Cowdenbeath vs Clyde is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Ross CountyvsHearts U21
- Sep 26, 2026DumbartonvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Queen of the SouthvsRangers U21
- Sep 26, 2026Alloa AthleticvsGala Fairydean Rovers
- Sep 26, 2026Forfar AthleticvsDundee United II
- Sep 26, 2026Airdrie UnitedvsBerwick Rangers
- Sep 26, 2026Annan AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 26, 2026Hamilton AcademicalvsKilmarnock II