Durango vs Santurtzi: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs Santurtzi?
On Elo ratings, Durango has 1,722 points and Santurtzi 1,651.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs Santurtzi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Santurtzi
Not enough data to predict the Santurtzi lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Santurtzi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Durango(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Durango win, 3 draws, 2 Santurtzi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santurtzi 2-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Durango 4-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Santurtzi 1-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Durango 2-2 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Santurtzi 1-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Santurtzi 1-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santurtzi score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Santurtzi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and Santurtzi sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Durango vs Santurtzi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs Santurtzi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi.
- Where and when is Durango vs Santurtzi played?
- Durango vs Santurtzi is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.