Egypt vs South Sudan: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab AI model makes Egypt the favourite at 89%, against 9% for a draw and 2% for South Sudan. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egypt vs South Sudan?
Egypt is a heavy favourite: 1,715 Elo points against 1,342, a 373-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Egypt vs South Sudan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Egypt
4-2-3-1- 22Omar Marmoush
- 11Mostafa Zico
- 8Emam Ashour
- 17Mohanad Lasheen
- 19Marwan Attia
- 12H. Hassan
- 3Mohamed Hany
- 5Rami Rabia
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 13Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
- 1Mostafa Shobeir
South Sudan
4-4-2- 10J. Dwang
- 18K. Majak
- 7Valentino Kuach Yuel
- 5C. Yak
- 15M. Albano
- 12M. Malish
- 2B. Laku
- 13S. Taban
- 3R. Okocha
- 7D. John
- 23M. Mawith
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egypt have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; South Sudan have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | South Africa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | South Sudan(away) | 5-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Angola(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Australia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Egypt(home) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Djibouti(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Djibouti(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Syria(away) | 0-2 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Egypt wins, 0 draws, 0 South Sudan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | South Sudan 0-5 Egypt | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Egypt 3-0 South Sudan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Egypt score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; South Sudan score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| South Sudan | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egypt sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and South Sudan sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Egypt vs South Sudan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egypt vs South Sudan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egypt the favourite at 89%, against 9% for a draw and 2% for South Sudan.
- Where and when is Egypt vs South Sudan played?
- Egypt vs South Sudan is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Suez Canal Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.