Tanzania vs Madagascar: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gombani Stadium, Gombani
The Footlab AI model makes Tanzania the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Madagascar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tanzania wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tanzania vs Madagascar?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Tanzania (1,472) and Madagascar (1,501).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tanzania vs Madagascar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tanzania
4-2-3-1- 21Cyprian Kachwele
- 6F. Salum
- 7H. Mao
- 17A. Msanga
- 8C. M'Mombwa
- 12Simon Happygod Msuva
- 15M. Hussein
- 4I. Hamad
- 26Miano van den Bos
- 22N. Chilambo
- 28Z. Foba
Madagascar
4-2-3-1- 9W. Caddy
- 7R. Raveloson
- 6M. Ilaimaharitra
- 10El Hadari
- 17L. Lapoussin
- 13N. Fontaine
- 15E. Kari
- 5S. Trémoulet
- 3M. Jean-Pierre
- 22M. Acapandié
- 1G. Dupire
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tanzania have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Madagascar have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Madagascar(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mação(away) | 6-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Liechtenstein(home) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tanzania wins, 2 draws, 1 Madagascar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tanzania 2-1 Madagascar | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Tanzania 0-1 Madagascar | COSAFA Cup |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Tanzania 3-2 Madagascar | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Madagascar vs Tanzania on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tanzania score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzania | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tanzania sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Madagascar sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Tanzania vs Madagascar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tanzania vs Madagascar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tanzania the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Madagascar.
- Where and when is Tanzania vs Madagascar played?
- Tanzania vs Madagascar is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gombani Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.