Gambia vs Ghana: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Lat Dior, Thiès
The Footlab AI model makes Gambia the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ghana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gambia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gambia vs Ghana?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Gambia (1,542) and Ghana (1,549).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gambia vs Ghana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gambia
5-4-1- 10M. Badamosi
- 25A. Barry
- 8E. Adams
- 11A. Sanyang
- 9Suleiman Camara
- 5O. Colley
- 6Y. Bojang
- 4A. Saine
- 15J. Ceesay
- 13I. Touray
- 18B. Gaye
Ghana
4-3-3- 7A. Fatawu
- 10B. Thomas-Asante
- 9F. Afena-Gyan
- 8K. Sibo
- 3Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 19E. Nuamah
- 14G. Mensah
- 18J. Opoku
- 21K. Peprah Oppong
- 4J. Adjetey
- 16B. Asare
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gambia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ghana have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ghana(away) | 4-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Somalia(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 29, 2026 | Iran(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kuwait(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gambia(home) | 2-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ivory Coast(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | England(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Gambia win, 0 draws, 0 Ghana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ghana 2-4 Gambia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Gambia score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ghana score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gambia | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ghana | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gambia sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Ghana sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Gambia vs Ghana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gambia vs Ghana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gambia the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ghana.
- Where and when is Gambia vs Ghana played?
- Gambia vs Ghana is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Lat Dior, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.