Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo
The Footlab AI model makes Nigeria the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Guinea-Bissau. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau?
Nigeria starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nigeria
4-3-1-2- 22A. Adams
- 15M. Simon
- 4W. Ndidi
- 17A. Iwobi
- 7A. Lookman
- 17C. Nwoko
- 3S. Onyemaechi
- 6S. Ajayi
- 21C. Bassey
- 6E. Fernandez
- 23S. Nwabali
Guinea-Bissau
4-3-3- 9Beto
- 17Mama Baldé
- 10Franculino Djú
- 19Renato Nhaga
- 7Dálcio
- 11R. Vieira
- 22Opa Sanganté
- 15Jefferson Encada
- 2Víctor Rofino
- 3Adramane Cassamá
- 1Manuel Baldé
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nigeria have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Guinea-Bissau have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Russia(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Poland(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Nigeria(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tanzania(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Nigeria wins, 0 draws, 2 Guinea-Bissau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau 3-0 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nigeria score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea-Bissau score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nigeria sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Guinea-Bissau sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nigeria the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Guinea-Bissau.
- Where and when is Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau played?
- Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.