Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Deportivo Alavés II starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Alavés II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ejea(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Eibar II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Alavés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II 2-0 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Eibar II 0-1 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Deportivo Alavés II 0-3 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Eibar II 1-0 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Alavés II vs Eibar II on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar II | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Eibar II.
- Where and when is Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II played?
- Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.