Match

Compostela vs Portugalete: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela

CompostelaPortugalete

The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Compostela vs Portugalete?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Compostela (1,886) and Portugalete (1,942).

Compostela win38 %
Draw28 %
Portugalete win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Portugalete have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Portugalete
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Barakaldo(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026Deportivo Alavés III(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026Aurrerá Vitoria(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026Leioa(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026Eibar III(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Compostela1.71.248/158/15
Portugalete1.80.978/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Portugalete?
The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Portugalete.
Where and when is Compostela vs Portugalete played?
Compostela vs Portugalete is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Compostela and Portugalete

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