Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,876) and Real Madrid III (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Madrid III have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid III score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid III | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III?
- The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.