Match

Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco

Marino de LuancoReal Madrid III

The Footlab AI model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino de Luanco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,762 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,820) and Real Madrid III (1,834).

39%28%33%
Marino de Luanco winDrawReal Madrid III win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marino de Luanco

Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.

Real Madrid III

Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:41 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Real Madrid III have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino de Luanco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Racing Santander II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 31, 2026Gernika(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 25, 2026Real Oviedo II(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Sestao River(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Llanera(away)2-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Real Valladolid II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 1, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 25, 2026Conquense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Marino de Luanco score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marino de Luanco1.11.445/158/15
Real Madrid III0.70.883/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Marino de Luanco102268148

A question about Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III?
The Footlab AI model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Madrid III.
Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III played?
Marino de Luanco vs Real Madrid III is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marino de Luanco and Real Madrid III