Match

Basconia vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri

BasconiaOurense CF

The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basconia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basconia vs Ourense CF?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Basconia (1,968) and Ourense CF (1,908).

47%27%26%
Basconia winDrawOurense CF win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Basconia vs Ourense CF

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Basconia

Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.

Ourense CF

Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Ourense CF have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basconia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Eibar II(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Llanera(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Marino de Luanco(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Arosa(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Atlético Astorga(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Arosa(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Eibar II(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Marino de Luanco(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Basconia wins, 0 draws, 1 Ourense CF win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Ourense CF 2-1 BasconiaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Basconia on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basconia2.31.4411/1511/15
Ourense CF1.21.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basconia sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Ourense CF sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Ourense CF63125710
9Basconia62311099

A question about Basconia vs Ourense CF?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Ourense CF?
The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF.
Where and when is Basconia vs Ourense CF played?
Basconia vs Ourense CF is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basconia and Ourense CF

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