Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Eintracht Frankfurt (2,103) and SC Freiburg (2,181).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Derby(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SC Freiburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | SC Freiburg 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| May 17, 2025 | SC Freiburg 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SC Freiburg 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2-5 SC Freiburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| SC Freiburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SC Freiburg.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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