Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 played?

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FSV Mainz 05. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,094) and FSV Mainz 05 (2,146).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win39 %

Draw24 %

FSV Mainz 05 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	SSVg Velbert(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(away)	6-0	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Paris FC(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Udinese(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Dec 5, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Mar 2, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Oct 6, 2023	Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-2 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.7	1.1	5	9/15	11/15
FSV Mainz 05	2.5	1.3	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th (40 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	40
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FSV Mainz 05.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 played?: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.