Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg played?

FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04

SV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,042) and SV Elversberg (2,077).

FC Schalke 04 win38 %

Draw25 %

SV Elversberg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Elversberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	SV Elversberg 1-2 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025	FC Schalke 04 1-0 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
May 18, 2025	FC Schalke 04 1-2 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024	SV Elversberg 1-4 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Apr 19, 2024	SV Elversberg 1-1 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2023	FC Schalke 04 1-2 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 04	1.8	1.3	5	6/15	10/15
SV Elversberg	2.7	1.3	4	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?: The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg played?: FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.