Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,028) and FC Augsburg (2,052).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Augsburg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Werder Bremen 0-2 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | FC Augsburg 0-3 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Werder Bremen 2-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg played?
- Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Bayern MünchenvsUnion Berlin
- Sep 19, 2026Borussia MönchengladbachvsFSV Mainz 05
- Sep 19, 2026Bayer LeverkusenvsRB Leipzig
- Sep 19, 2026Eintracht FrankfurtvsSC Freiburg
- Sep 19, 2026VfB StuttgartvsBorussia Dortmund
- Sep 19, 2026FC Schalke 04vsSV Elversberg
- Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SVvs1. FC Köln
- Sep 19, 2026SC Paderborn 07vs1899 Hoffenheim