Match

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,028) and FC Augsburg (2,052).

Werder Bremen win42 %
Draw23 %
FC Augsburg win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Augsburg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Werder Bremen 1-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025FC Augsburg 0-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 19, 2025Werder Bremen 0-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Aug 24, 2024FC Augsburg 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Apr 27, 2024FC Augsburg 0-3 Werder BremenBundesliga
Dec 9, 2023Werder Bremen 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen1.61.538/157/15
FC Augsburg2.42.1111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg played?
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg

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