Elche vs Osasuna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Osasuna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Osasuna?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Elche (2,041) and Osasuna (2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Osasuna have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Elche win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Osasuna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Elche 0-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Osasuna 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Osasuna 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Elche 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| May 1, 2022 | Elche 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2021 | Osasuna 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Osasuna sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Osasuna?
- The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Osasuna.
- Where and when is Elche vs Osasuna played?
- Elche vs Osasuna is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.