Where and when is Elgin City vs Fraserburgh played?

Elgin City vs Fraserburgh is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elgin City vs Fraserburgh: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin

Elgin City

Fraserburgh

The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fraserburgh. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?

Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,564).

Elgin City win40 %

Draw23 %

Fraserburgh win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fraserburgh have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elgin City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Spartans(away)	3-3	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Kelty Hearts(home)	4-1	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Ross County(home)	1-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Forfar Athletic(home)	1-1	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Edinburgh City(away)	5-0	League Two

Fraserburgh
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lossiemouth(away)	4-0	Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026	Inverurie Loco Works(away)	1-2	Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026	Nairn County(home)	2-0	Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026	Montrose(away)	0-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Forres Mechanics(away)	2-0	Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Elgin City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fraserburgh win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 1, 2025	Elgin City 4-1 Fraserburgh	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 25, 2022	Elgin City 2-0 Fraserburgh	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Fraserburgh on Jul 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elgin City	1.9	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Fraserburgh	2.5	0.6	10	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?: The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fraserburgh.
Where and when is Elgin City vs Fraserburgh played?: Elgin City vs Fraserburgh is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.