Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Elinkwijk, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Elinkwijk the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eemdijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Elinkwijk (1,733) and Eemdijk (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Elinkwijk have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Eemdijk have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Olde Veste '54(home) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkum(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Elinkwijk score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Eemdijk score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elinkwijk | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Eemdijk | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk?
- The Footlab model makes Elinkwijk the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eemdijk.
- Where and when is Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk played?
- Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Elinkwijk, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.