Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli played?

Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie Cottbus

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,992) and FC St. Pauli (1,970).

Energie Cottbus win48 %

Draw25 %

FC St. Pauli win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Hannover 96(home)	3-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Werder Bremen(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Mlada Boleslav(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	HNK Gorica(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Energie Cottbus win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2014	Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Nov 11, 2013	FC St. Pauli 3-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2013	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Aug 25, 2012	Energie Cottbus 2-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 25, 2012	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2011	Energie Cottbus 1-4 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 17, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus	2.0	1.5	4	9/15	11/15
FC St. Pauli	1.4	2.0	0	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Energie Cottbus	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli played?: Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.