Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC played?

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

Hertha BSC

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,000) and Hertha BSC (2,041).

Dynamo Dresden win44 %

Draw24 %

Hertha BSC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Hertha BSC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Grazer AK(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	WSG Wattens(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025	Hertha BSC 2-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2019	Hertha BSC 5-5 Dynamo Dresden	DFB Pokal
Mar 2, 2013	Dynamo Dresden 1-0 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2012	Hertha BSC 1-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden	2.5	0.9	7	6/15	10/15
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC played?: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.