Match

Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe

Karlsruher SC1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,946) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,020).

Karlsruher SC win32 %
Draw23 %
1. FC Nürnberg win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karlsruher SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Inter(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karlsruher SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 20261. FC Nürnberg 5-1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2025Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Jan 19, 20251. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Aug 3, 2024Karlsruher SC 3-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Apr 28, 20241. FC Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2024Karlsruher SC 3-1 1. FC NürnbergFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karlsruher SC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karlsruher SC1.41.9110/1512/15
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
3Karlsruher SC2110214

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Karlsruher SC.
Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg

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