Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,946) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,020).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karlsruher SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 5-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-2 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
- Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026VfL WolfsburgvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Sep 19, 2026Hannover 96vsVfL Bochum
- Sep 19, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Sep 19, 2026Dynamo DresdenvsHertha BSC
- Sep 19, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Sep 19, 2026Holstein KielvsVfL Osnabrück
- Sep 19, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Sep 19, 2026Energie CottbusvsFC St. Pauli