VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for SV Darmstadt 98. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,028) and SV Darmstadt 98 (1,989).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SV Darmstadt 98 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Verl(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | Bundesliga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 18, 2017 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2016 | SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 19, 2016 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 24, 2015 | SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 on May 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for SV Darmstadt 98.
- Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?
- VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Hannover 96vsVfL Bochum
- Sep 19, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Sep 19, 2026Dynamo DresdenvsHertha BSC
- Sep 19, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Sep 19, 2026Holstein KielvsVfL Osnabrück
- Sep 19, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Sep 19, 2026Karlsruher SCvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Sep 19, 2026Energie CottbusvsFC St. Pauli