Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück played?

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

VfL Osnabrück

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,963) and VfL Osnabrück (2,005).

Holstein Kiel win39 %

Draw26 %

VfL Osnabrück win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Swansea(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Osnabrück
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Spelle-Venhaus(away)	5-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Magdeburg(home)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	3-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Nordhorn(away)	7-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2025	VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 13, 2024	Holstein Kiel 4-0 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2023	VfL Osnabrück 1-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Jan 7, 2023	Holstein Kiel 5-3 VfL Osnabrück	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 8, 2022	Holstein Kiel 3-2 VfL Osnabrück	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2021	VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.6	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
VfL Osnabrück	2.2	1.6	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
18	VfL Osnabrück	2	0	0	2	3	7	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?: The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Osnabrück.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück played?: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.