Match

England U17 vs Ukraine U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St George’s Park - Pitch 6, Burton upon Trent, Staffordshire

England U17Ukraine U17

The Footlab model makes England U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ukraine U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win England U17 vs Ukraine U17?

England U17 starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,492).

England U17 win61 %
Draw20 %
Ukraine U17 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England U17 have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Ukraine U17 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

England U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Estonia U17(away)2-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Israel U17(away)1-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Faroe Islands U17(home)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Austria U17(away)0-4World Cup - U17
Nov 15, 2025Korea Republic U17(away)2-0World Cup - U17
Ukraine U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Albania U17(away)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Jun 6, 2026Latvia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Spain U17(away)1-3Friendlies
Apr 21, 2026Spain U17(away)0-4Friendlies
Feb 16, 2026Croatia U17(away)0-0Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

England U17 score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
England U172.52.047/1511/15
Ukraine U171.31.749/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

England U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Ukraine U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2England U173201636
3Ukraine U173111434

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for England U17 vs Ukraine U17?
The Footlab model makes England U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ukraine U17.
Where and when is England U17 vs Ukraine U17 played?
England U17 vs Ukraine U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at St George’s Park - Pitch 6, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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