Estonia U17 vs Wales U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab AI model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Estonia U17. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wales U17 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estonia U17 vs Wales U17?
Wales U17 starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,494 vs 1,331).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estonia U17 vs Wales U17
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estonia U17
4-3-3- 21A. Kaares
- 11K. Tomingas
- 13A. Visse
- 18R. Lehtmets
- 6J. Silm
- 4K. Kalvik
- 3R. Sammul
- 14R. Neltsas
- 5U. Nomm
- 17K. Isok
- SS. Ristna
Wales U17
4-3-3- 8Isaac Thomas
- 7L. Scarlett
- 10Axel Donczew
- 5Finley Evans
- 10R. Tankiewicz
- 11O. Salter
- 4C. Heywood
- 5T. Pitt
- 14C. Heywood
- 5N. Williams
- 1Oscar Abbotson
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia U17 have 1 win, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Wales U17 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | England U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Faroe Islands U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | San Marino U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Andorra U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Liechtenstein U17(away) | 11-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Portugal U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia U17 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Wales U17 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia U17 sit 4th in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (0 points from 3 matches) and Wales U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wales U17Group 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Estonia U17Group 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
A question about Estonia U17 vs Wales U17?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estonia U17 vs Wales U17?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Estonia U17.
- Where and when is Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 played?
- Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U172-0Greece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U174-2Gibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U173-1Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U171-9Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U172-3Iceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U170-0Switzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U178-0Liechtenstein U17