Where and when is Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 played?

Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estonia U17 vs Wales U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi

Estonia U17

Wales U17

The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Estonia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estonia U17 vs Wales U17?

Wales U17 starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,331).

Estonia U17 win26 %

Draw22 %

Wales U17 win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia U17 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Wales U17 have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estonia U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	Belgium U17(away)	0-1	UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026	Croatia U17(home)	1-3	UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026	Spain U17(home)	1-4	UEFA U17 Championship
Mar 31, 2026	England U17(home)	0-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Faroe Islands U17(away)	1-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Wales U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 16, 2026	Georgia U17(away)	2-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 13, 2026	San Marino U17(home)	0-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 10, 2026	Andorra U17(home)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Liechtenstein U17(away)	11-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025	Portugal U17(away)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Estonia U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estonia U17	0.6	2.7	1	6/15	6/15
Wales U17	1.9	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estonia U17 sit 4th in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (0 points from 3 matches) and Wales U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Wales U17	3	1	1	1	13	3	4
4	Estonia U17	3	0	0	3	1	11	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estonia U17 vs Wales U17?: The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Estonia U17.
Where and when is Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 played?: Estonia U17 vs Wales U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.