Estrela vs Portimonense: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
The Footlab AI model makes Estrela the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrela wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrela vs Portimonense?
On Elo ratings, Estrela has 1,991 points and Portimonense 1,918.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrela vs Portimonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrela
4-2-3-1- 37L. Antonetti
- 10I. Stoica
- 78Santiago Serra
- 99A. Marcus
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 6K. Höög Jansson
- 5S. Leković
- 21M. Scholze
- 55Rafa Soares
- 3L. Mincarelli Davin
- 24Léo Linck
Portimonense
3-4-3- 2Edney
- 93Welinton Júnior
- 7Danio Djassi
- 80Felipe Favero
- 15Xavier
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 6S. Neves
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 1Dudu
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Portimonense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Estrela win, 2 draws, 1 Portimonense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estrela 1-1 Portimonense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Estrela 3-0 Portimonense | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Portimonense 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Portimonense 3-1 Estrela | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: Estrela vs Portimonense on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Portimonense | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Estrela vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrela vs Portimonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrela the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Estrela vs Portimonense played?
- Estrela vs Portimonense is played on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.