Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Sportist Svoge (1,542) and Hebar 1918 (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sportist Svoge win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 1-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Hebar 1918 1-2 Sportist Svoge | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hebar 1918 0-3 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Cup |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Sportist Svoge 1-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918 on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918 is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsFratria
- Oct 10, 2026NesebarvsCSKA Sofia II
- Oct 10, 2026MontanavsLudogorets II
- Oct 10, 2026DobrudzhavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Oct 10, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsSpartak Pleven
- Oct 10, 2026Yantra 2019vsVihren
- Oct 10, 2026MarekvsBeroe
- Oct 10, 2026Rilski SportistvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa