Montana vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Ludogorets II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Montana (1,625) and Ludogorets II (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ludogorets II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Montana 0-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Ludogorets II 1-2 Montana | Second League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ludogorets II 2-1 Montana | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Montana 3-2 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| May 21, 2023 | Ludogorets II 3-2 Montana | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Montana 2-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Montana vs Ludogorets II on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Ludogorets II?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II.
- Where and when is Montana vs Ludogorets II played?
- Montana vs Ludogorets II is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsFratria
- Oct 10, 2026NesebarvsCSKA Sofia II
- Oct 10, 2026DobrudzhavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Oct 10, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsSpartak Pleven
- Oct 10, 2026Yantra 2019vsVihren
- Oct 10, 2026MarekvsBeroe
- Oct 10, 2026Rilski SportistvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Sportist SvogevsHebar 1918