Match

Montana vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaLudogorets II

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Ludogorets II?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Montana (1,625) and Ludogorets II (1,629).

Montana win45 %
Draw28 %
Ludogorets II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League
Ludogorets II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026CSKA Sofia II(away)1-1Second League
Aug 18, 2026Vihren(home)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Beroe(away)0-2Second League
Aug 3, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)2-1Second League
Jul 28, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ludogorets II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2025Montana 0-0 Ludogorets IISecond League
Oct 7, 2024Ludogorets II 1-2 MontanaSecond League
Feb 24, 2024Ludogorets II 2-1 MontanaSecond League
Aug 14, 2023Montana 3-2 Ludogorets IISecond League
May 21, 2023Ludogorets II 3-2 MontanaSecond League
Oct 24, 2022Montana 2-0 Ludogorets IISecond League

Last archived meeting: Montana vs Ludogorets II on Apr 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.21.338/157/15
Ludogorets II1.31.339/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Montana5212987
10Ludogorets II5212467

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Ludogorets II?
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II.
Where and when is Montana vs Ludogorets II played?
Montana vs Ludogorets II is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Montana and Ludogorets II

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