Rilski Sportist vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov
The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,583) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played?
- Rilski Sportist vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.