Where and when is Liniers vs Excursionistas played?

Liniers vs Excursionistas is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Liniers vs Excursionistas: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Liniers

Excursionistas

The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Liniers. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Liniers vs Excursionistas?

Excursionistas starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,602).

Liniers win16 %

Draw28 %

Excursionistas win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liniers have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Excursionistas have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Liniers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Flandria(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Defensores Unidos(away)	3-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Comunicaciones(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Dock Sud(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Excursionistas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	5-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Flandria(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Liniers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Excursionistas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Excursionistas 4-1 Liniers	Primera B Metropolitana
Oct 12, 2025	Liniers 1-0 Excursionistas	Primera B Metropolitana
Jun 11, 2025	Excursionistas 1-0 Liniers	Primera B Metropolitana
Jun 29, 2024	Excursionistas 0-0 Liniers	Primera B Metropolitana
Feb 13, 2024	Liniers 0-1 Excursionistas	Primera B Metropolitana
Jun 5, 2023	Excursionistas 3-0 Liniers	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Excursionistas vs Liniers on May 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excursionistas score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Liniers	0.7	0.9	3	7/15	2/15
Excursionistas	1.8	1.0	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Liniers sit 14th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 21 matches) and Excursionistas sit 1st (41 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
1	Excursionistas	31	17	8	6	47	24	59
14	Liniers	21	6	6	9	14	21	24
17	Liniers	31	7	11	13	21	31	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Liniers vs Excursionistas?: The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Liniers.
Where and when is Liniers vs Excursionistas played?: Liniers vs Excursionistas is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.