Match

Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano OkayamaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,167 vs 1,969).

27%27%46%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fagiano Okayama

3-4-2-1
  1. 99Lucão
  1. 80Oberdan
  2. 8A. Esaka
  3. 41E. Miyamoto
  4. 51K. Shirai
  5. 10Na Sang-Ho
  6. 28M. Matsumoto
  1. 48Y. Tatsuta
  2. 43Y. Suzuki
  3. 26H. Motoyama
  1. 1L. Moser

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 8Matheus Bueno
  3. 6K. Misao
  4. 14Y. Higuchi
  1. 23K. Tsukui
  2. 7R. Ogawa
  3. 55N. Ueda
  4. 5I. Sekigawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kashima have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Oct 25, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)1-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)3-3J-League Cup
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fagiano Okayama win, 0 draws, 3 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2026Kashima 1-0 Fagiano OkayamaFriendlies Clubs
Jun 28, 2025Kashima 1-2 Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Fagiano Okayama 1-2 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 22, 2016Kashima 2-1 Fagiano OkayamaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama on Jan 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama1.51.549/1512/15
Kashima2.31.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 10th in J1 League (16 points from 13 matches) and Kashima sit 6th (23 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima13724292223
10Fagiano Okayama13517152116

A question about Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fagiano Okayama.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima played?
Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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