Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusUrawa

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Urawa (1,932).

Nagoya Grampus win44 %
Draw24 %
Urawa win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kashima(away)1-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 25, 2026Consadole Sapporo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2025Urawa 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
May 24, 2025Nagoya Grampus 2-1 UrawaJ1 League
Jun 26, 2024Nagoya Grampus 0-1 UrawaJ1 League
Apr 28, 2024Urawa 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 18, 2023Urawa 1-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 2, 2023Nagoya Grampus 3-0 UrawaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.51.8211/1511/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nagoya Grampus3102443
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Urawa.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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