Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,152 vs 1,923).

20%24%56%
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 9Oh Se-Hun
  2. 7Capixaba
  3. 8K. Inoue
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 37K. Koizumi
  3. 18T. Hirato
  1. 25Mateus Brunetti
  2. 24H. Sugai
  3. 3Y. Takahashi
  4. 4S. Hasukawa
  1. 1Y. Oki

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 35Y. Nakajima
  4. 7S. Higashi
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 29T. Asano
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Tokyo Verdy(home)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-5J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)3-4J-League Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shimizu S-pulse win, 3 draws, 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Apr 11, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Shimizu S-pulse 3-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Aug 10, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Aug 6, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Shimizu S-pulseEmperor Cup
Feb 26, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse1.11.728/159/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.30.8113/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (30 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima14932321030
15Shimizu S-pulse14428102314

A question about Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shimizu S-pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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