Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia played?

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale

Machida Zelvia

The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,116 vs 1,961).

Kawasaki Frontale win27 %

Draw25 %

Machida Zelvia win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kawasaki Frontale
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-1	J1 League
Jul 16, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Machida Zelvia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Grulla Morioka(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026	Urawa(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	4-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	5-1	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Machida Zelvia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Mar 28, 2026	Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Aug 31, 2025	Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Apr 6, 2025	Machida Zelvia 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Oct 5, 2024	Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Apr 7, 2024	Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Machida Zelvia	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale	1.1	1.1	2	9/15	6/15
Machida Zelvia	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
14	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?: The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia played?: Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.