Match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,167 vs 2,064).

27%25%48%
Kawasaki Frontale winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kawasaki Frontale

4-2-3-1
  1. 97Derik Lacerda
  1. 23Marcinho
  2. 8K. Tachibanada
  3. 17T. Ito
  4. 14Y. Wakizaka
  5. 16Y. Ozeki
  1. 4Pedro Romano
  2. 5A. Sasaki
  3. 29R. Yamahara
  4. 28Y. Maruyama
  1. 49S. Brodersen

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 20T. Nishimura
  2. 16H. Mae
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 31N. Lavi
  6. 88H. Nakamura
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 2T. Ouwejan
  3. 24Kim Min-Tae
  1. 1K. Tani

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)1-2J1 League
Nov 1, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Sagan Tosu(away)2-0J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-1J1 League
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-0J1 League
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kawasaki Frontale wins, 3 draws, 1 Machida Zelvia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026Machida Zelvia 2-1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
May 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Mar 28, 2026Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Aug 31, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Machida Zelvia 2-2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Oct 5, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kawasaki Frontale score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale2.21.3510/1511/15
Machida Zelvia1.50.5105/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kawasaki Frontale sit 8th in J1 League (22 points from 14 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 4th (29 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Machida Zelvia14851301029
8Kawasaki Frontale14644282422

A question about Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia played?
Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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