Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Tokyo Verdy (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy on Aug 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Feb 27, 2027V-varen NagasakivsKashiwa Reysol
- Feb 27, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsUrawa
- Feb 27, 2027Gamba OsakavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Feb 27, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsMachida Zelvia
- Feb 27, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsCerezo Osaka
- Feb 27, 2027JEF United ChibavsFC Tokyo
- Feb 27, 2027Mito HollyhockvsVissel Kobe