Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto SangaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Tokyo Verdy (1,872).

Kyoto Sanga win43 %
Draw27 %
Tokyo Verdy win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-0J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Jun 6, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2025Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
May 25, 2025Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Dec 8, 2024Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 29, 2024Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Sep 7, 2022Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Tokyo VerdyEmperor Cup
Aug 28, 2021Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15
Tokyo Verdy1.11.458/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Tokyo Verdy3021242
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kyoto Sanga and Tokyo Verdy

Ready to know everything about football?