Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Cerezo Osaka (2,019).

Yokohama F. Marinos win41 %

Draw26 %

Cerezo Osaka win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 30, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
May 11, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Aug 24, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Apr 27, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Nov 12, 2023	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Apr 1, 2023	Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka on Nov 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.