Match

Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba OsakaAvispa Fukuoka

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,024) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).

Gamba Osaka win51 %
Draw25 %
Avispa Fukuoka win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 11, 2026Gangwon FC(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026Urawa(home)4-3J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Verspah Oita(home)0-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kashima(away)2-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)3-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Osaka(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gamba Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Mar 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2025Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Feb 22, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-1 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Aug 24, 2024Gamba Osaka 2-2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
May 3, 2024Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.81.258/158/15
Avispa Fukuoka1.41.3210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gamba Osaka3111674
12Avispa Fukuoka3102543

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gamba Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka

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