Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo played?

JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

FC Tokyo

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,815).

JEF United Chiba win22 %

Draw25 %

FC Tokyo win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	6-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 JEF United Chiba win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Tokyo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo 2-0 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
May 6, 2026	FC Tokyo 0-3 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Mar 18, 2026	JEF United Chiba 1-2 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Jul 10, 2024	FC Tokyo 1-2 JEF United Chiba	Emperor Cup
Oct 13, 2013	JEF United Chiba 2-2 FC Tokyo	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
FC Tokyo	1.9	1.5	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo played?: JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.