Match

Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaKawasaki Frontale

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Kashima (2,166) and Kawasaki Frontale (2,078).

49%25%26%
Kashima winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Kawasaki Frontale

4-2-3-1
  1. 97Derik Lacerda
  1. 23Marcinho
  2. 8K. Tachibanada
  3. 17T. Ito
  4. 6Y. Yamamoto
  5. 14Y. Wakizaka
  1. 4Pedro Romano
  2. 29R. Yamahara
  3. 13S. Miura
  4. 22F. Uremović
  1. 49S. Brodersen

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)4-2J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Jubilo Iwata(away)4-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashima wins, 1 draw, 1 Kawasaki Frontale win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 12, 2026Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Kashima 1-0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Jul 5, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 KashimaJ1 League
May 11, 2025Kashima 2-1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Nov 1, 2024Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15
Kawasaki Frontale2.31.2411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 8th in J1 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kawasaki Frontale12642251822
8Kashima12624252120

A question about Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashima and Kawasaki Frontale

Ready to know everything about football?