Where and when is Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale played?

Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

Kashima

Kawasaki Frontale

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,160 vs 1,961).

Kashima win56 %

Draw24 %

Kawasaki Frontale win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Suzuka Unlimited(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	3-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs

Kawasaki Frontale
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-1	J1 League
Jul 16, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kashima win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 Kashima	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Kashima 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Jul 5, 2025	Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Kashima	J1 League
May 11, 2025	Kashima 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Nov 1, 2024	Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Kashima	J1 League
Mar 17, 2024	Kashima 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kashima	2.0	1.0	8	6/15	8/15
Kawasaki Frontale	1.1	1.1	2	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Kashima	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
14	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale?: The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale played?: Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.