Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,832).

Mito Hollyhock win31 %

Draw28 %

Fagiano Okayama win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kyoto Sangyo University(home)	0-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 22, 2024	Mito Hollyhock 0-0 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Mar 20, 2024	Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Jul 1, 2023	Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Mar 5, 2023	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Jun 25, 2022	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
May 4, 2022	Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama on Sep 22, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	7/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Mito Hollyhock vs Fagiano Okayama is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.