Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Streymoy
The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kazakhstan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Faroe Islands (1,345) and Kazakhstan (1,398).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faroe Islands have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Kazakhstan have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia(away) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia(away) | 0-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Croatia(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Faroe Islands win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kazakhstan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Faroe Islands score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kazakhstan score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Kazakhstan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
- The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kazakhstan.
- Where and when is Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan played?
- Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.