Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Gabrovo
Full time
What was the result of Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Luxembourg won 1-2 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′A. ChandarovBulgaria
- 37′L. BarreiroLuxembourg
- 65′V. ThillLuxembourg
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bulgaria win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bulgaria
4-2-3-1- 20L. Petkov
- 10Z. Dimitrov
- 14A. Chandarov
- 11G. Rusev
- 4I. Gruev
- 6E. Tsenov
- 21D. Velkovski
- 15T. Ivanov
- 5K. Dimitrov
- 19I. Turitsov
- 1D. Naumov
Luxembourg
4-2-3-1- 17H. Kadamani
- 7Aiman Dardari
- 10D. Sinani
- 11V. Thill
- 16L. Barreiro
- 6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
- 4F. Bohnert
- 13D. Carlson
- 3E. Mahmutović
- 18L. Jans
- 1A. Moris
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Luxembourg have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 1-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Solomon Islands(away) | 10-2 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Georgia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Malta(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Malta(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bulgaria wins, 3 draws, 0 Luxembourg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Bulgaria 4-3 Luxembourg | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria on Nov 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Luxembourg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulgaria sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 4 matches) and Luxembourg sit 4th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy