FC Astana vs Kaisar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Astana Arena, Astana
The Footlab AI model makes FC Astana the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Kaisar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Astana vs Kaisar?
FC Astana starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Astana vs Kaisar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Astana
4-2-3-1- 81R. Karimov
- 9B. Islamkhan
- 7D. Karaman
- 8I. Bašić
- 72S. Basmanov
- 10M. Tomasov
- 11Y. Vorogovskiy
- 5K. Kažukolovas
- 2K. Bartolec
- 3B. Kalaica
- 74M. Seysen
Kaisar
4-2-3-1- 29R. Bagdat
- 42Miqueias
- 13N. Zhaksylyk
- 6E. Kaldybekov
- 47B. Konlimkos
- 24N. Cuckić
- 43Klaidher
- 5A. Kenesbek
- 25S. Bukorac
- 93S. Askarov
- 40A. Kováč
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Astana have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kaisar have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ordabasy(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atyrau(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Altay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Astana wins, 4 draws, 0 Kaisar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Kaisar 0-0 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2025 | FC Astana 5-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Kaisar 1-1 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Kaisar 0-1 FC Astana | Premier League |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Astana 1-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | FC Astana 1-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Astana score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaisar score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astana | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kaisar | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Astana sit 3rd in Premier League (45 points from 24 matches) and Kaisar sit 13th (24 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 45 |
| 13 | Kaisar | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
A question about FC Astana vs Kaisar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Astana vs Kaisar?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Astana the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Kaisar.
- Where and when is FC Astana vs Kaisar played?
- FC Astana vs Kaisar is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Astana Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.