Ordabasy vs Zhenys: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov, Shymkent
The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Zhenys. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Zhenys?
Ordabasy starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ordabasy vs Zhenys
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ordabasy
3-4-2-1- 28B. Johnsen
- 77D. Abagna
- 22S. Astanov
- 15Z. Amir
- 11Y. Vakulko
- 16M. Căpățînă
- 44T. Keita
- 25S. Maliy
- 5N. Antić
- 55A. Amanović
- 1B. Shaizada
Zhenys
4-1-4-1- 10L. Imnadze
- 14A. Saulet
- 7I. Kuat
- 29S. Zharynbetov
- 88Gian Martins
- 3P. Kpozo
- 5Z. Tevzadze
- 63I. Šaravanja
- 13S. Tursynbay
- 8M. Khaseyn
- 41M. Plotnikov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ordabasy have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Zhenys have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Okzhetpes(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Altay(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Okzhetpes(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Altay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ordabasy wins, 1 draw, 1 Zhenys win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Zhenys 0-2 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ordabasy 2-1 Zhenys | Premier League |
| May 30, 2025 | Zhenys 2-2 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ordabasy 1-2 Zhenys | Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Zhenys 1-3 Ordabasy | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ordabasy score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zhenys score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordabasy | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Zhenys | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ordabasy sit 1st in Premier League (58 points from 25 matches) and Zhenys sit 8th (32 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 8 | Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
A question about Ordabasy vs Zhenys?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ordabasy vs Zhenys?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Zhenys.
- Where and when is Ordabasy vs Zhenys played?
- Ordabasy vs Zhenys is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.