Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Karasay, Petropavlosvk
The Footlab model makes Kyzyl-Zhar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Ulytau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Kyzyl-Zhar (1,506) and Ulytau (1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyzyl-Zhar have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ulytau have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altay(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irtysh(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kyzyl-Zhar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ulytau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Ulytau 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ulytau 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1 Ulytau | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ulytau score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ulytau | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyzyl-Zhar sit 10th in Premier League (24 points from 22 matches) and Ulytau sit 7th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ulytau | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 10 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau?
- The Footlab model makes Kyzyl-Zhar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Ulytau.
- Where and when is Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau played?
- Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Karasay, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.